Disclaimer: This is the analysis of a fully independent observer, at a distance of some 10 000 km from Switi Sranan.

By Marcel Chin-A-Lien, Independent Observer and Petroleum & Energy Insights Specialist

Introduction

Suriname stands at a historic crossroads.

With offshore oil discoveries promising unprecedented revenues, the outcome of the presidential elections on May 25, 2025, will shape how the country manages this windfall.

Public expectations for transparency, good governance, and equitable development are at an all-time high.

This analysis, written from an independent and international perspective, compares how the five major political parties—VHP, NDP, NPS, ABOP, and PL—plan to manage oil revenues, prevent corruption, and invest for a resilient future.

VHP: Policy Continuity, Transparency, and Responsible Investment

• Transparency: VHP, led by President Chan Santokhi, has anchored its oil strategy in transparent governance. The party advocates for clear agreements on oil revenue use, public reporting, and independent oversight bodies. VHP supports aligning Suriname’s oil sector with international best practices, including the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI), and calls for digital tracking of oil flows and contracts to deter mismanagement and corruption.^[1][2][4][6]
• Corruption Prevention: VHP’s reform agenda includes stricter tendering processes, anti-corruption laws, and regular audits. Santokhi’s administration has initiated high-profile tenders and promised to prosecute wrongdoing, though critics note challenges in implementation.^[1][4]
• Strategic Investment: VHP emphasizes investing oil revenues in infrastructure, education, healthcare, and environmental protection. The party seeks broad-based economic diversification to avoid overreliance on oil.^[2]

NDP: Redistributive Populism and Infrastructure-Driven Growth

• Transparency: The NDP, Suriname’s main opposition, has criticized the current government for lack of transparency and has itself faced scrutiny over opaque deals in the past. The party promises more open tendering and public disclosure of contracts, but its record is mixed, with past accusations of bypassing legal procurement processes.^[3][6]
• Corruption Prevention: NDP calls for strong anti-corruption enforcement but has faced allegations of favoring allies and entering into controversial agreements, such as the HPSG energy contract. The party proposes parliamentary oversight and independent investigations for future deals.^[3]
• Strategic Investment: NDP’s vision centers on rapid infrastructure expansion, job creation, and direct cash transfers to citizens. The party is open to partnerships with China and other foreign investors to accelerate economic growth, but this approach carries risks of debt accumulation and potential governance lapses.^[1][5][6]

Comparative Table: Oil Revenue Management Strategies of Suriname’s Major Parties

Party	Transparency Measures	Corruption Prevention	Investment Strategy	Distinctive Features
VHP	Public reporting, EITI alignment, digital tracking, independent oversight	Stricter tenders, anti-corruption laws, regular audits	Infrastructure, education, healthcare, environment, economic diversification	Policy continuity, fiscal discipline, multi-ethnic inclusion
NDP	Promises open tenders, public contract disclosure (mixed record)	Parliamentary oversight, independent investigations (past controversies)	Rapid infrastructure, job creation, cash transfers, foreign partnerships	Populist, redistributive, openness to Chinese investment
NPS	Supports sovereign wealth fund, transparent legal frameworks	Legal reforms, oversight bodies, environmental safeguards	Long-term savings, investment in health and education	Prudence, sustainability, Afro-Surinamese base
ABOP	Advocates for local stakeholder transparency, community input	Community monitoring, regional representation in oversight	Targeted investments in marginalized regions, social services	Maroon and interior focus, regional equity
PL	Pushes for minority representation in oversight bodies	Community-based anti-corruption initiatives	Social programs, rural development, minority access	Javanese Surinamese interests, coalition builder

Conclusion: A Defining Election for Suriname’s Future

The May 25, 2025, election will determine not just political leadership but the stewardship of Suriname’s oil era. VHP and NDP offer sharply contrasting approaches: VHP stresses institutional transparency, prudent investment, and broad-based development, while NDP leans on populist redistribution and rapid infrastructure growth. NPS, ABOP, and PL each bring distinct priorities rooted in historical grievances and community needs.

The choices made now will echo for generations.

Suriname’s oil moment?

Demands both a longterm, country-wide consensualised and wise, strategic vision and clear roadmap.

With utmost vigilance.

The dies will be cast, soon.

Faites vos jeux, rien ne va plus.

Quand es dés sont jetés, le hasard prend le dessus, et il n’est plus possible d’aller à son encontre.